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TROPICAL STORM WILFRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL232020
0300 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  36.0W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 120SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  36.0W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  35.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.5N  38.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.5N  40.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.8N  43.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.7N  46.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.3N  48.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.9N  50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  36.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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