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TROPICAL STORM WILFRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL232020
2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  34.4W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 120SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  34.4W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  33.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 13.2N  36.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.3N  39.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.4N  42.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.4N  45.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.1N  48.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N  50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  34.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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