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TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020
1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2020

CORRECTED SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS SECTION
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE STORM SURGE WARNING BETWEEN SABINE PASS, TX AND ROCKEFELLER 
WILDLIFE REFUGE, LOUISIANA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS, TEXAS TO SABINE PASS, TEXAS INCLUDING COPANO BAY, 
ARANSAS BAY, SAN ANTONIO BAY, MATAGORDA BAY, AND GALVESTON BAY. 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... 
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION 
OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM 
SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS 
A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS 
SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM 
RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. 
PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL 
OFFICIALS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  95.7W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  95.7W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  95.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.3N  96.5W...NEAR TEXAS COAST
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 28.5N  96.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.8N  96.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.1N  95.3W...NEAR TEXAS COAST
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.7N  94.0W...NEAR TEXAS COAST
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.8N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 33.5N  89.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  95.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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