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TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020
0900 UTC SUN SEP 20 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM PORT ARANSAS TO HIGH ISLAND...TEXAS HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
THE STORM SURGE WATCH BETWEEN BAFFIN BAY AND PORT ARANSAS...TEXAS
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD...TEXAS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS...TEXAS TO ROCKEFELLER WILDLIFE 
REFUGE...LOUISIANA...INCLUDING COPANO BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN 
ANTONIO BAY...MATAGORDA BAY... GALVESTON BAY...SABINE LAKE...AND 
LAKE CALCASIEU
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT MANSFIELD TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR 
A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT 
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS 
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO 
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR 
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER 
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  92.7W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......170NE  30SE  40SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  92.7W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  92.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 27.2N  93.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE  30SE  40SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 27.6N  94.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.2N  95.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 28.8N  96.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.2N  96.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.7N  95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 31.4N  92.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 33.8N  90.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  92.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 20/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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