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TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020
0300 UTC SUN SEP 20 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EAST OF HIGH 
ISLAND...TEXAS TO ROCKEFELLER WILDLIFE REFUGE...LOUISIANA.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH EAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO
MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS...TEXAS TO ROCKEFELLER WILDLIFE REFUGE...LOUISIANA...
INCLUDING COPANO BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN ANTONIO BAY...MATAGORDA
BAY...GALVESTON BAY...SABINE LAKE...AND LAKE CALCASIEU
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAFFIN BAY...TEXAS TO PORT ARANSAS...TEXAS INCLUDING BAFFIN BAY
AND CORPUS CHRISTI BAY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  92.2W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......160NE  40SE  40SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  92.2W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  92.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 27.1N  93.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE  50SE  40SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.4N  94.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  50SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.9N  95.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.4N  96.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 28.9N  96.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.3N  96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 30.2N  94.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.4N  92.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N  92.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 20/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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