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TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020
1500 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020

CORRECTED 96 AND 120 H INTENSITIES
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS...TEXAS
TO INTRACOASTAL CITY...LOUISIANA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT MANSFIELD...TX TO CAMERON...LA INCLUDING BAFFIN BAY...CORPUS
CHRISTI BAY...COPANO BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN ANTONIO BAY...MATAGORDA
BAY...GALVESTON BAY...SABINE LAKE AND CALCASIEU LAKE
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
* EAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  92.6W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  92.6W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  92.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 26.9N  93.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 27.1N  93.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.5N  94.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.8N  95.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.2N  96.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 28.6N  96.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 29.5N  95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N  93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N  92.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 19/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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