ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020
1500 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  93.9W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  93.9W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  94.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.8N  93.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.9N  93.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 26.3N  93.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.5N  94.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 26.6N  95.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 26.9N  96.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 27.5N  96.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 28.5N  95.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  93.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN