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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane TEDDY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE TEDDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020               
2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
41.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   4( 4)   7(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X  37(37)   6(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X  59(59)  13(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   6( 6)   7(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  2  83(85)   5(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
PTX BASQUES    50  X  36(36)   8(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34 98   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  50  5  79(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
SYDNEY NS      34 59  37(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
SYDNEY NS      50  X  47(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SABLE ISLAND   50  6  10(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
HALIFAX NS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     50 87   8(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
HALIFAX NS     64  3  16(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
YARMOUTH NS    50 32   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
MONCTON NB     34 55   8(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
MONCTON NB     50  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ST JOHN NB     34 48   2(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 
EASTPORT ME    34 34   2(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
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