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BULLETIN
Hurricane Teddy Intermediate Advisory Number 40A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202020
800 AM AST Tue Sep 22 2020
 
...TEDDY FORECAST TO BRING HEAVY RAIN, STRONG WINDS AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES TO NOVA SCOTIA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.3N 63.5W
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* South coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Meat Cove to Tidnish Nova Scotia
* North of Digby to Fort Lawrence Nova Scotia
* Magdalen Islands Quebec
* Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland
* Prince Edward Island
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
 
Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the
progress of Teddy.  Additional watches and/or warnings could be
required later today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located
near latitude 39.3 North, longitude 63.5 West.  Teddy is moving
toward the north-northwest near 28 mph (44 km/h), and a turn toward
the north-northeast is expected by early Wednesday.  On the forecast
track, the center will move over eastern Nova Scotia on Wednesday,
and then near or over Newfoundland by Wednesday night.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Although some weakening is likely later today and Wednesday,
Teddy should be a strong post-tropical cyclone when it moves near
and over Nova Scotia.
 
Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up
to 105 miles (165 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 400 miles (645 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.05 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in
the warning area by this afternoon.  Tropical storm conditions
could begin in the watch areas late today or early Wednesday.
 
SURF:  Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the
Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast
of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals
of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada.
 
STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall in Nova Scotia.  Near the coast, the surge
will be accompanied by very large and destructive waves.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Blake
 
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