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HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0300 UTC SUN SEP 20 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  61.2W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......130NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT.......220NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  61.2W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  60.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 28.3N  62.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 29.6N  63.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 31.6N  62.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...260NE 220SE 180SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 35.7N  61.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT...320NE 230SE 240SW 290NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 39.7N  62.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...170NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
34 KT...350NE 330SE 270SW 320NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 42.5N  62.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
34 KT...350NE 310SE 250SW 270NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 49.5N  56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 57.0N  42.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  61.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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