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HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0300 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  57.4W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 270SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  57.4W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.5N  58.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.3N  60.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.0N  61.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 30.8N  62.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.5N  61.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 150SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 37.7N  61.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
34 KT...310NE 230SE 220SW 290NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 45.5N  62.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 50.5N  56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N  57.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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