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HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0300 UTC THU SEP 17 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  51.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......220NE 100SE  80SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 360SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  51.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  51.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.9N  52.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  90SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.3N  54.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.8N  55.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.5N  57.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.3N  59.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.0N  61.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 30.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 35.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  51.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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