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HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0900 UTC WED SEP 16 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  49.0W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE  80SE  40SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  49.0W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  48.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.8N  50.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  50SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.3N  51.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N  52.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.3N  54.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.7N  56.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.2N  57.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 27.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 31.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  49.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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