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TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
2100 UTC MON SEP 14 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  44.0W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  44.0W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  43.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 13.6N  45.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.5N  47.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.4N  49.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.6N  50.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.9N  52.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.3N  53.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 24.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  44.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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