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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0300 UTC MON SEP 14 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  39.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 240SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  39.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  38.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.5N  41.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.9N  43.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.4N  45.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.0N  47.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  60SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N  48.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.2N  50.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 20.0N  52.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 23.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  39.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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