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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
2100 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  37.6W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  37.6W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  37.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 13.2N  39.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.6N  42.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.1N  44.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.7N  46.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.6N  47.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.8N  49.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 19.5N  51.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  37.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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