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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
1500 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  36.4W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  36.4W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  35.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.8N  38.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.3N  40.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.7N  43.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.4N  45.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.3N  46.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.3N  48.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 22.0N  53.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  36.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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