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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  34.6W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  34.6W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  34.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 12.3N  35.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.9N  37.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.5N  40.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.1N  42.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.8N  44.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.9N  46.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  70SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 18.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N  51.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N  34.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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