ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE SALLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020
1500 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SALLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTA GA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TAMPA FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 4( 6) 6(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
ST MARKS FL 34 2 3( 5) 6(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
APALACHICOLA 34 4 10(14) 7(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
APALACHICOLA 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 6(10) 6(16) 1(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 11 18(29) 10(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 26 26(52) 16(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 2 4( 6) 8(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBUS GA 34 2 3( 5) 10(15) 8(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26)
COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 2 3( 5) 8(13) 3(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 2 8(10) 27(37) 8(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
MONTGOMERY AL 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
WHITING FLD FL 34 49 22(71) 12(83) 1(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85)
WHITING FLD FL 50 2 14(16) 18(34) 2(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37)
WHITING FLD FL 64 X 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PENSACOLA FL 34 75 11(86) 5(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
PENSACOLA FL 50 7 22(29) 14(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
PENSACOLA FL 64 1 5( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 9 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MOBILE AL 34 77 13(90) 4(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
MOBILE AL 50 9 28(37) 13(50) 2(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
MOBILE AL 64 2 9(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
GULFPORT MS 34 66 12(78) 3(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83)
GULFPORT MS 50 3 7(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
GULFPORT MS 64 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
STENNIS MS 34 29 14(43) 6(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
STENNIS MS 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURAS LA 34 19 8(27) 3(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 9 7(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JACKSON MS 34 2 3( 5) 5(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 5 7(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FORT POLK LA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LAKE CHARLES 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAMERON LA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PENSACOLA NAS 50 32 24(56) 6(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
PENSACOLA NAS 64 2 13(15) 6(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
KEESLER AB 34 85 8(93) 1(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
KEESLER AB 50 13 20(33) 5(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
KEESLER AB 64 2 7( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: