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TROPICAL STORM SALLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192020
0900 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020

CORRECTED FOR INLAND STATUS AT 60 AND 72 HOURS

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA
TO MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
NORTHEAST TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING NEW
ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA TO WEST OF GRAND ISLE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM EAST OF OCEAN SPRINGS
MISSISSIPPI TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND LAKE BORGNE
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW
ORLEANS
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF OCEAN SPRINGS TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF OCEAN SPRINGS TO INDIAN PASS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INDIAN PASS TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FLORIDA
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. 
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT 
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS 
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO 
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR 
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER 
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  84.0W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  80SE   0SW  20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  84.0W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  83.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 27.7N  85.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 28.3N  87.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 28.7N  88.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 29.2N  89.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 30.1N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 31.0N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  30SW  20NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 32.8N  88.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 34.5N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  84.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 13/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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