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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192020
2100 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA FROM SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET TO NORTH OF OCEAN
REEF.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
6 TO 12 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD ALSO BE MONITORING
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES 
COULD BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THAT AREA LATER TONIGHT OR ON 
SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  79.0W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  79.0W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  78.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.7N  80.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.2N  81.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 27.3N  83.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 28.4N  85.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 29.1N  86.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 29.5N  87.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 30.0N  89.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 31.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  79.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 12/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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