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Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number  26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182020
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 13 2020
 
Sporadic small areas of convection continue to fire off around the 
circulation of Rene, only to dissipate shortly thereafter. A recent 
ASCAT overpass showed an area of 20 to 25 kt winds in the eastern 
semicircle. Therefore, the initial intensity will remain 25 kt. The 
dry environment surrounding Rene will only get drier over the next 
couple of days. That, along with increasing subsidence over the 
cyclone should eventually cause Rene to become a remnant low. There 
is no change to the previous forecast intensity or timing of the 
system becoming a remnant low, which is consistent with the global 
models.

Rene is beginning to slow down as a ridge starts to build to the 
north and northwest of the cyclone. This slowing trend should 
continue through tonight. Late Monday through Tuesday, a turn to the 
west then southwest should occur as whatever remains of the system 
becomes steered by the larger circulation of Tropical Depression 
Twenty to its southwest. There is little change to the previous 
track forecast, and the latest NHC forecast lies near the various 
multi-model track consensus guidance.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  13/1500Z 26.8N  47.6W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  14/0000Z 27.5N  48.3W   25 KT  30 MPH
 24H  14/1200Z 27.6N  48.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
 36H  15/0000Z 27.3N  49.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  15/1200Z 26.7N  50.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  16/0000Z 26.1N  51.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  16/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Latto
 
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