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Hurricane Paulette Intermediate Advisory Number 28A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
800 PM AST Sun Sep 13 2020
...RAIN BANDS OF PAULETTE BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS TO BERMUDA...
...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE THROUGH TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Paulette was located
by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter Aircraft and Bermuda radar near latitude
30.9 North, longitude 63.6 West. Paulette is moving toward the
northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight. A turn toward the north with a decrease in
forward speed is forecast on Monday, followed by a faster
northeastward motion Monday night and Tuesday. On the forecast
track, the center of Paulette will move near or over Bermuda early
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is expected to be a
dangerous hurricane when it approaches Bermuda late tonight and
early Monday. Some further strengthening is possible when Paulette
turns northeastward and moves away from Bermuda late Monday through
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km). Multiple observing stations on Bermuda have reported
tropical-storm-force wind gusts during the past hour.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the NOAA
plane is 974 mb (28.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occuring on Bermuda now, and
winds will steadily increase through the evening. Hurricane
conditions are expected to first reach Bermuda late tonight and
will continue into Monday morning.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
RAIN: Paulette will bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through
Monday, with rainfall of 3 to 6 inches expected.
SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the
east coast of the United States. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.