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Hurricane Paulette Advisory Number 29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
1100 PM AST Sun Sep 13 2020
...EYE AND EYEWALL OF PAULETTE NEARING BERMUDA...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Paulette was
located near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 64.0 West. Paulette is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). Paulette is
forecast to continue moving northwestward overnight and then turn
northward on Monday. A faster motion toward the northeast is
expected late Monday through Wednesday. On the forecast track the
eye of Paulette will move near or over Bermuda early Monday morning.
Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum
sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some
strengthening is forecast as Paulette moves closer to Bermuda
overnight and early Monday. Additional strengthening is likely when
Paulette turns northeastward and moves away from Bermuda late Monday
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km). Winds have steadily increased on Bermuda during the past
few hours and will continue to increase during the next few hours.
An unofficial observing station at Cedarvale South recently reported
a wind gust of 62 mph (100 km/h). An automated station at Cresent
reported a wind gust of 56 mph (90 km/h), and another station at
Pearl Island reported a gust of 70 mph (112 km/h).
The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the
hurricane hunter plane is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occuring on Bermuda now, and
winds will steadily increase tonight. Hurricane conditions are
expected to first reach Bermuda overnight and will continue into
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
RAIN: Paulette will bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through
Monday, with rainfall of 3 to 6 inches expected.
SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the
east coast of the United States. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.