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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number  23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
1100 AM AST Sat Sep 12 2020
 
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR BERMUDA...
...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON BERMUDA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.5N 57.2W
ABOUT 565 MI...905 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Hurricane Warning for
Bermuda.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 27.5 North, longitude 57.2 West.  Paulette is
moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A northwest or 
west-northwest motion is expected through late Sunday.  A turn 
toward the north with a decrease in forward speed is forecast on 
Monday, followed by a northeastward motion Monday night and 
Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Paulette will move 
near or over Bermuda Monday morning.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is expected to 
become a hurricane later today or tonight.  Paulette is expected to 
be a dangerous hurricane when it is near Bermuda Sunday night and 
Monday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
 
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to reach Bermuda by 
Sunday night or early Monday.  Winds are expected to first reach 
tropical storm strength by late Sunday evening, making outside 
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life 
and property should be rushed to completion.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.  
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and 
destructive waves.
 
RAIN:  Paulette may bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda Sunday 
through Monday, with rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches likely.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the 
Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda and 
will continue to spread westward to the east coast of the United 
States over the next day or two.  These swells are likely to cause 
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult 
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg
 
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