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TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
0300 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N  25.3W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  90SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N  25.3W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  26.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 34.4N  22.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE  70SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 34.7N  20.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE  70SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 35.1N  18.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE  70SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 35.3N  16.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE  70SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 34.7N  16.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 34.0N  16.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 33.1N  18.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N  25.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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