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HURRICANE PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
0900 UTC MON SEP 14 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING
ON BERMUDA OR WILL BEGIN AGAIN IN A COUPLE OF HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  64.7W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  64.7W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  64.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.9N  64.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.1N  62.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.4N  57.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 40.9N  51.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 43.4N  45.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 170SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 45.3N  40.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 180SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 45.5N  36.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 41.6N  34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N  64.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 14/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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