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HURRICANE PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS THAT
MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH BERMUDA SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  59.7W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 100SE  80SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  59.7W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  59.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 29.7N  61.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 100SE  80SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.0N  63.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.6N  65.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.2N  61.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 37.7N  57.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 190NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 41.0N  49.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 43.5N  42.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N  59.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 13/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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