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TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
0900 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  56.1W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE  80SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 300SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  56.1W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  55.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 28.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 29.2N  60.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 30.3N  62.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.8N  64.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.5N  65.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 35.2N  63.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 38.2N  56.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 41.5N  49.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N  56.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 12/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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