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TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
2100 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULETTE.  A
HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR THE ISLAND TONIGHT OR EARLY
SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  53.7W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE  70SE  60SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  53.7W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  53.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.9N  55.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  20SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  70SE  60SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 28.7N  59.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 29.8N  62.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.1N  64.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.6N  65.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 36.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 39.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N  53.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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