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TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  48.1W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE  60SE  60SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE  90SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  48.1W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  47.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.3N  49.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  50SE  30SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.4N  51.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  40SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.9N  53.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.8N  54.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 24.1N  55.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 25.8N  57.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE   0SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 29.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 31.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N  48.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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