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TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
1500 UTC MON SEP 07 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  42.2W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  42.2W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  42.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.4N  42.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.9N  43.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.7N  44.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.6N  46.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.3N  48.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  70SE  40SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.7N  50.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE  70SE  40SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 21.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  42.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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