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Tropical Depression Omar Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152020
500 AM AST Sat Sep 05 2020
 
Omar continues to produce bursts of deep convection that are being 
sheared to the south of the center of circulation.  However, 
these busts are near enough to the center for the system to 
still qualify as a tropical cyclone.  Since Omar is now finally 
beginning to head for cooler waters, convection will likely decrease 
and Omar should become a remnant low within 24 hours.
  
As expected, the cyclone is now moving north-northeastward, or 
020/6 kt.  A continued generally north-northeast track with 
acceleration is likely, under the influence of an approaching large 
mid-level trough.  The official track forecast is similar to the 
NOAA corrected consensus, HCCA, prediction.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  05/0900Z 36.2N  57.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  05/1800Z 37.6N  56.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  06/0600Z 40.1N  55.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  06/1800Z 43.0N  52.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  07/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
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