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Tropical Depression Omar Discussion Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152020
500 PM AST Fri Sep 04 2020
 
Omar continues to hang on as a tropical depression.  The cyclone is
producing a small area of thunderstorms to the south of the center,
enough to continue writing advisories on this system for now.  The
initial intensity is held at 30 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data.
Omar has been more resistant than expected to the ongoing northerly
wind shear, but the models insist that the continued shear, dry 
air, and cooler waters should cause it to decay to a remnant low 
this evening or early Saturday and dissipate entirely by Saturday 
night.
 
The tropical depression is still moving eastward at about 5 kt.  An
approaching deep-layer trough should cause Omar to turn north-
northeastward tonight and then accelerate in that direction 
until it dissipates over the northern central Atlantic this 
weekend.  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  04/2100Z 35.3N  57.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  05/0600Z 36.2N  57.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  05/1800Z 38.0N  56.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 
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