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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020
1500 UTC THU AUG 20 2020
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15(23)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13)
CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15)
GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 3(20) 1(21)
MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MERIDA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 29(45) 2(47) X(47)
COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15)
COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16)
GUANAJA 34 X 4( 4) 27(31) 7(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 1(14) X(14)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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