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Tropical Depression Fourteen Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142020
200 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA...
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
THIS AFTERNOON...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 80.0W
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Honduras/Nicaragua border westward to Punta Castilla Honduras
* Bay Islands of Honduras
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36
hours.
 
Additional watches or warnings, including for the Yucatan Peninsula
of Mexico, may be required later today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen
was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 80.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and a
westward motion is expected to continue through this evening.  A
turn toward the west-northwest and northwest with a decrease in
forward speed is forecast tonight and Friday, with a general
northwest motion continuing through at least Sunday.  On the
forecast track, the center of the system will move near or just
north of the northeastern coast of Honduras and the Bay Islands on
Friday and will approach the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico on Saturday.  The center is then expected to cross the
Yucatan Peninsula Saturday night and move into the south-central
Gulf of Mexico on Sunday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today or
tonight.  The system could be near or at hurricane strength when it
reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Saturday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area tonight and on Friday.
 
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches
of rain across Jamaica and northern Nicaragua, and 2 to 4 inches
over portions of Honduras through Saturday.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg
 
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