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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142020
2100 UTC FRI AUG 21 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
NORTH OF CANCUN TO DZILAM TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA HERRERO TO CANCUN MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA HERRERO TO DZILAM MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  84.3W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  84.3W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  84.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.6N  85.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.8N  85.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.2N  87.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.9N  88.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 24.6N  90.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 26.2N  92.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 28.5N  95.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 30.0N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  84.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 22/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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