Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression FOURTEEN


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142020
0900 UTC FRI AUG 21 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA HERRERO TO CANCUN MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO PUNTA CASTILLA HONDURAS
* BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER
* PUNTA HERRERO TO CANCUN MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  83.1W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  83.1W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  82.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.3N  84.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.7N  85.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.2N  86.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.7N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.5N  88.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 24.5N  90.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 28.1N  93.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 30.4N  94.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N  83.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 21/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
NNNN