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HURRICANE LAURA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020
2100 UTC TUE AUG 25 2020
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LAURA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MOBILE AL 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GULFPORT MS 34 1 4( 5) 7(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
STENNIS MS 34 2 4( 6) 9(15) 7(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
BURAS LA 34 3 9(12) 8(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 38 19(57) 1(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JACKSON MS 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 12(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 2 9(11) 17(28) 8(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 30 62(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 2 46(48) 3(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
GFMX 280N 910W 64 X 16(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 1 8( 9) 35(44) 10(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 2 25(27) 30(57) 5(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 5( 5) 45(50) 26(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77)
ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 21(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 1 13(14) 55(69) 8(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
LAFAYETTE LA 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) 10(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 2 18(20) 51(71) 6(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) 7(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 85(89) 8(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 X 61(61) 24(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
GFMX 280N 930W 64 X 28(28) 44(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 48(70) 4(74) X(74) X(74)
SHREVEPORT LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 4(32) X(32) X(32)
SHREVEPORT LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
FORT POLK LA 34 X 5( 5) 58(63) 23(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87)
FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) 19(19) 34(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54)
FORT POLK LA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
LAKE CHARLES 34 1 9(10) 76(86) 7(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
LAKE CHARLES 50 X 1( 1) 50(51) 18(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) 24(24) 17(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
CAMERON LA 34 2 36(38) 56(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
CAMERON LA 50 X 4( 4) 68(72) 6(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) 45(45) 9(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
JASPER TX 34 X 5( 5) 58(63) 23(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87)
JASPER TX 50 X X( X) 24(24) 33(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58)
JASPER TX 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
KOUNTZE TX 34 X 5( 5) 66(71) 14(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86)
KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) 37(37) 23(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
KOUNTZE TX 64 X X( X) 13(13) 21(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 8( 8) 76(84) 7(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X 1( 1) 51(52) 14(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) 27(27) 19(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
GALVESTON TX 34 X 19(19) 53(72) 3(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
GALVESTON TX 50 X 2( 2) 30(32) 4(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
HOUSTON TX 34 X 5( 5) 40(45) 12(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) 11(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
HOUSTON TX 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FREEPORT TX 34 X 6( 6) 34(40) 6(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47)
FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
FREEPORT TX 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 2 21(23) 26(49) 1(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 X 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 1 9(10) 68(78) 5(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X 1( 1) 42(43) 10(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) 21(21) 12(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
MATAGORDA TX 34 X 8( 8) 21(29) 2(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X 6( 6) 11(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
ROCKPORT TX 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X 7( 7) 4(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
HARLINGEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KEESLER AB 34 2 8(10) 6(16) 3(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20)
$$
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