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Tropical Storm LAURA (Text)


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Tropical Storm Laura Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132020
1100 PM AST Sat Aug 22 2020
 
...LAURA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 69.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the U.S.
Virgin Islands.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra
* The northern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to
the border with Haiti
* The southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to
Punta Palenque
* The northern coast of Haiti from Le Mole St. Nicholas to the
border with the Dominican Republic
* The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands
* Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Las Tunas, Holguin, Guantanamo,
Santiago de Cuba, and Granma
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The central Bahamas
* Andros Island
* Florida Keys from Ocean Reef to Key West and the Dry Tortugas
* Florida Bay
* Cuban provinces of Ciego De Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Villa Clara,
Cienfuegos, Matanzas, Mayabeque, La Habana, Artemisa, and Pinar Del
Rio
 
It should be noted that the Cuban province of Pinar Del Rio is
still under a Tropical Storm Warning for Marco.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Laura was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 69.6 West. Laura is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a
this general motion is expected over the next few days.  On the
forecast track, the center of Laura will move across Hispaniola
tonight and early Sunday, near or over Cuba Sunday and Monday,
and over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday night and Tuesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. No significant changes in strength are forecast during the
next 36 to 48 hours while Laura moves near or over Hispaniola and
Cuba. Strengthening is forecast once Laura moves into the Gulf of
Mexico Monday night and Tuesday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Laura is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations through Tuesday:
 
Western Puerto Rico: An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with
maximum storm total accumulations of 8 inches, is possible before
the rain diminishes overnight.
 
Dominican Republic and Haiti: 4 to 8 inches, with maximum amounts of
12 inches across southern areas.
 
Cuba: 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts of 8 inches.
 
This heavy rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash and urban
flooding, and the potential for mudslides across the Greater
Antilles. Widespread minor to potentially moderate river flooding is
possible in Puerto Rico.
 
Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum
totals of 5 inches, is expected over the Turks and Caicos,
southeast Bahamas and Jamaica.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of
the warning area through Sunday night.  Tropical storm conditions
are possible within portions of the watch area on Monday.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Laura are affecting portions of the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola.  These swells are
expected to spread across Cuba, much of the Bahamas, and the
Florida Keys during the next few days. Please consult products
from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 
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