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HURRICANE LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF SABINE PASS...
TEXAS AND EAST OF PORT FOURCHON...LOUISIANA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SABINE PASS TEXAS TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  93.1W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N  93.1W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  93.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.9N  92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 35.8N  91.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 37.0N  87.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 38.0N  82.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 38.7N  74.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 41.8N  66.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 50.0N  53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 53.5N  43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N  93.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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