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HURRICANE LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
0300 UTC WED AUG 26 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SARGENT TEXAS TO SAN LUIS PASS
* EAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FREEPORT TEXAS TO SAN LUIS PASS
* MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND LAKE BORGNE
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY TO WEST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  89.5W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  89.5W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  88.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.5N  91.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 28.7N  93.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.2N  93.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.7N  93.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.0N  92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 37.2N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 38.0N  78.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 42.0N  65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  89.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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