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TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
0900 UTC TUE AUG 25 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM SOUTH OF PORT BOLIVAR TO SAN LUIS
PASS HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WATCH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SAN LUIS PASS TO
FREEPORT TEXAS.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE TO KEY WEST HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND LAKE BORGNE
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS TO WEST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA
CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA
HABANA...ARTEMISA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH
* DRY TORTUGAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN LUIS PASS TO FREEPORT TEXAS
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY TO ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING OR
AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  85.7W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  30SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  85.7W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  85.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.8N  87.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.1N  90.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.8N  92.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.3N  93.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 32.1N  93.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.5N  93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 37.0N  86.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 39.0N  73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  85.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 25/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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