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TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
2100 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM 
WARNING FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC. 

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF CRAIG
KEY AND FOR FLORIDA BAY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS EXCEPT FOR INAGUA AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.  THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND ANDROS ISLAND HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF THE HAITI
* INAGUA AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS IN SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO... 
SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS... 
VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA HABANA... 
ARTEMISA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  75.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE   0SE   0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  75.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  74.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.6N  78.3W...NEAR CUBA
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.8N  81.7W...NEAR CUBA
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.3N  84.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.7N  87.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.1N  90.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 32.7N  93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 37.0N  88.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  75.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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