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TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
1500 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR 
THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
THE BORDER WITH HAITI
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
PUNTA PALENQUE
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...CIEGO DE
AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA
CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA
HABANA...ARTEMISA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* ANDROS ISLAND
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS
* FLORIDA BAY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA TODAY.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM  CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  73.2W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE   0SE   0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  73.2W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  72.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.3N  76.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.6N  79.9W...NEAR CUBA
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.9N  83.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.1N  86.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 25.3N  88.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.8N  91.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 30.9N  94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 35.7N  92.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  73.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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