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TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
0900 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA
CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA HABANA...AND
ARTEMISA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
THE BORDER WITH HAITI
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
PUNTA PALENQUE
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...CIEGO DE
AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA
CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA HABANA...AND ARTEMISA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* ANDROS ISLAND
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS
* FLORIDA BAY
* CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA TODAY.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM  CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  70.9W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE   0SE   0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  70.9W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  70.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.8N  73.7W...OVER WATER WINDWARD PASSAGE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.9N  77.5W...INLAND EASTERN CUBA
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.2N  81.1W...INLAND WESTERN CUBA
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.5N  84.2W...OVER WATER SE GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.9N  87.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.4N  89.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 29.9N  92.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 35.0N  91.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  70.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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