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TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
2100 UTC SAT AUG 22 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST AND FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA 
BAY. 

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...
SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ANDROS ISLAND.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
THE BORDER WITH HAITI
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
PUNTA PALENQUE
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...
SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* ANDROS ISLAND
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS
* FLORIDA BAY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LAURA.  
ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED THERE 
TONIGHT. 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  68.1W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  68.1W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  67.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.9N  70.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.1N  74.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.6N  78.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.0N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.3N  84.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.7N  87.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  40SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 29.0N  90.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 33.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  68.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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