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TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
1500 UTC SAT AUG 22 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND GRANMA.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR ST. MAARTEN...ST.
MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
THE BORDER WITH HAITI
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
PUNTA PALENQUE
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND GRANMA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR 
THE PROGRESS OF LAURA.  TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND ADDITIONAL 
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN 
CUBA LATER TODAY AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE 
FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY. 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  66.8W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  66.8W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  66.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.6N  69.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.4N  72.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  50SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.9N  76.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.4N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.7N  83.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.2N  86.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  40SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 27.9N  90.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 31.6N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  66.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 22/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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