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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
0300 UTC THU AUG 20 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM...AS TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR THOSE 
AREAS ON THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  47.9W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  47.9W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  47.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.1N  50.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.4N  54.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.4N  58.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.1N  62.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.9N  65.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.8N  69.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.9N  76.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 26.2N  82.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  47.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 20/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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