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Tropical Storm ISAIAS


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092020               
0900 UTC TUE AUG 04 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  1  17(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  2  26(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
CONCORD NH     34  3  54(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
CONCORD NH     50  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORTSMOUTH NH  34  2  32(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
WORCESTER MA   34  8  54(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
WORCESTER MA   50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 16  65(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50  X  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
BOSTON MA      34  4  33(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  4  13(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  5   9(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34 10  34(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
BRIDGEPORT CT  34 72  21(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  6  20(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
NEW HAVEN CT   34 55  34(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
NEW HAVEN CT   50  3  16(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
HARTFORD CT    34 31  53(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
HARTFORD CT    50  1  14(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
NEW LONDON CT  34 24  42(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
NEW LONDON CT  50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ALBANY NY      34 10  67(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
ALBANY NY      50  X  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
ALBANY NY      64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
POUGHKEEPSIE   34 57  36(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
POUGHKEEPSIE   50  5  16(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
POUGHKEEPSIE   64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 25  31(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLIP NY       34 81  10(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
ISLIP NY       50 10  15(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 95   2(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 26  14(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 94   3(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50 28  10(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
NYC CNTRL PARK 64  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEWARK NJ      34 95   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
NEWARK NJ      50 31   6(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
NEWARK NJ      64  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TRENTON NJ     34 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
TRENTON NJ     50 35   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
TRENTON NJ     64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NWS EARLE NJ   34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
NWS EARLE NJ   50 38   7(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
NWS EARLE NJ   64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
ALLENTOWN PA   34 83   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
ALLENTOWN PA   50 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
ALLENTOWN PA   64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
PHILADELPHIA   34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
PHILADELPHIA   50 36   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
PHILADELPHIA   64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY  50 53   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
ATLANTIC CITY  64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34 60   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
BALTIMORE MD   50 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
DOVER DE       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
DOVER DE       50 47   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
DOVER DE       64  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34 84   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
ANNAPOLIS MD   50 13   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34 43   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
WASHINGTON DC  50  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CAPE HENLOPEN  50 66   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
CAPE HENLOPEN  64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
OCEAN CITY MD  50 65   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
OCEAN CITY MD  64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PAX RIVER NAS  50 20   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
PAX RIVER NAS  64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
WALLOPS CDA    50 73   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
WALLOPS CDA    64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
RICHMOND VA    34 95   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
RICHMOND VA    50  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NORFOLK NAS    50 92   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
NORFOLK NAS    64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NORFOLK VA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NORFOLK VA     50 91   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
NORFOLK VA     64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
OCEANA NAS VA  50 74   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ELIZABETH CTY  50 40   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 61   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEW RIVER NC   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
SURF CITY NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
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